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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22960501504296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+48
Endgame+48
Fouls+54
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave9
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points7
18Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +50
4Coral scored#13
14Coral points46
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
18Total teleop68
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
2Foul points8
42Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1319
#14
19.80.9
8.39.2
Auto7.5
Teleop9.7
End2.6
blue by 35.6
4451
#11
55.40.5
49.950.4
Auto11.5
Teleop42.4
End1.5
Second
13.20.9
12.313.1
Auto3.2
Teleop8.5
End1.4
blue by 14.9
1102
#19
28.10.5
22.022.6
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End0.1
Third
9.20.9
6.47.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 0.7
9.90.5
8.28.8
Auto1.3
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed