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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395202060801001206378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+11
Endgame+21
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
3Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +2
6Coral scored#7
20Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
30Total teleop32
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
24Foul points18
63Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#16
28.30.2
14.013.8
Auto4.3
Teleop22.8
End1.2
blue by 2.7
31.00.4
25.325.7
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End6.9
Second
8137
#33
11.50.2
14.013.9
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End1.9
blue by 1.9
7085
#15
13.50.4
10.611.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.5
Third
1539
#34
6.40.2
4.54.3
Auto0.8
Teleop5.1
End0.4
blue by 4.5
9315
#24
10.90.4
6.56.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned