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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61613040507080901007595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
Endgame+22
Fouls+20
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
11Coral scored#14
39Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
53Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
2Foul points0
75Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6366
#22
25.70.6
14.415.1
Auto5.7
Teleop16.7
End3.3
blue by 12.7
38.32.2
26.128.3
Auto4.1
Teleop25.8
End8.5
Second
4533
#26
23.40.6
18.819.4
Auto4.0
Teleop14.8
End4.6
blue by 2.5
25.92.2
18.220.4
Auto7.8
Teleop12.9
End5.2
Third
9571
#23
21.90.6
18.118.7
Auto4.6
Teleop15.1
End2.2
red by 8.3
13.62.2
8.610.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned