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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85550204010012014016010363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+40Teleop
+38Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
15Coral points13
15Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +44
17Coral scored#8
62Coral points30
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
82Total teleop38
Reef
9L4#4
4L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
2Foul points0
103Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#1
45.31.3
43.845.1
Auto11.4
Teleop27.8
End6.1
red by 18.9
5130
#17
26.30.4
18.719.1
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End0.7
Second
1758
#13
25.91.3
15.416.8
Auto4.4
Teleop20.7
End0.8
red by 6.1
19.80.4
20.721.1
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Third
13.21.3
13.114.5
Auto3.2
Teleop8.5
End1.4
red by 0.4
12.80.4
9.710.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed