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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6275204010012014012270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+42Teleop
+46Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave6
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
15Coral scored#13
55Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
73Total teleop59
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#5
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#17
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
6Foul points0
122Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.94.0
20.824.8
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End1.8
blue by 2.4
342
#12
41.30.3
24.725.0
Auto4.0
Teleop33.7
End3.5
Second
1102
#19
28.14.0
22.626.6
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End0.1
blue by 9.5
281
#7
37.60.3
31.631.9
Auto5.9
Teleop31.2
End0.6
Third
6961
#10
20.54.0
12.016.1
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End2.2
red by 10.6
9.90.3
8.89.1
Auto1.3
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed