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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11760050100150104109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+23
Endgame+11
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +33
9Coral scored#17
34Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
52Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#8
3L3#6
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
12Foul points6
104Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#11
55.40.3
52.151.8
Auto11.5
Teleop42.4
End1.5
red by 29.1
5130
#17
26.33.0
22.025.0
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End0.7
Second
4533
#26
23.40.3
20.820.4
Auto4.0
Teleop14.8
End4.6
blue by 2.5
1758
#13
25.93.0
23.726.7
Auto4.4
Teleop20.7
End0.8
Third
19.80.3
21.321.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End2.9
red by 9.9
9.93.0
6.99.9
Auto1.3
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed