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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821144060100120140160109116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
16Coral scored#16
59Coral points57
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
77Total teleop91
Reef
7L4#8
4L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
109Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#12
41.31.3
37.038.3
Auto4.0
Teleop33.7
End3.5
blue by 1.9
43.20.3
40.140.4
Auto5.4
Teleop35.0
End2.8
Second
25.91.3
25.326.7
Auto7.8
Teleop12.9
End5.2
blue by 12.4
38.30.3
35.235.5
Auto4.1
Teleop25.8
End8.5
Third
1293
#28
16.91.3
15.416.8
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End3.9
blue by 11.4
3489
#16
28.30.3
24.725.0
Auto4.3
Teleop22.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned