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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86114406010012014016089125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+40
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +30
12Coral scored#20
43Coral points71
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
75Total teleop105
Reef
5L4#8
4L3#5
1L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#28
BargeRed +4
8Cage & park4
8Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
89Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.0
50.050.0
Auto10.2
Teleop35.5
End2.8
red by 11.0
281
#7
37.60.7
35.936.6
Auto5.9
Teleop31.2
End0.6
Second
8137
#33
11.50.0
13.013.0
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End1.9
blue by 19.5
31.00.7
31.432.1
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End6.9
Third
4083
#32
8.60.0
8.08.0
Auto0.9
Teleop6.3
End1.4
blue by 17.1
6366
#22
25.70.7
23.724.4
Auto5.7
Teleop16.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsMissed