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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445502060801002948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+15
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +6
4Coral scored#4
14Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
18Total teleop24
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
29Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6961
#10
20.50.8
20.219.4
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End2.2
blue by 3.4
24.00.1
23.123.0
Auto8.4
Teleop14.4
End1.2
Second
12.90.8
13.612.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End0.6
blue by 0.7
13.60.1
12.812.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9
Third
1539
#34
6.40.8
7.26.4
Auto0.8
Teleop5.1
End0.4
blue by 6.8
13.20.1
13.613.5
Auto3.2
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed