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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606640507080904746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+9Teleop
+7Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave0
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points22
16Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +15
6Coral scored#2
23Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
27Total teleop12
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points6
47Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.90.7
36.836.1
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End1.8
red by 10.7
1102
#19
28.11.6
29.027.3
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End0.1
Second
7085
#15
13.50.7
11.410.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.5
blue by 6.3
1319
#14
19.81.6
20.418.8
Auto7.5
Teleop9.7
End2.6
Third
9.20.7
9.58.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 3.6
12.81.6
14.813.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed