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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374802060801007562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+5
+5Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +8
7Coral scored#10
25Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
35Total teleop43
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
8Foul points0
75Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6366
#22
25.72.1
21.623.7
Auto5.7
Teleop16.7
End3.3
blue by 0.3
1758
#13
25.91.3
22.423.7
Auto4.4
Teleop20.7
End0.8
Second
9315
#24
10.92.1
8.610.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End3.0
blue by 0.7
8137
#33
11.51.3
11.713.0
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End1.9
Third
9.92.1
4.86.9
Auto1.3
Teleop7.4
End1.2
red by 2.7
3976
#31
7.31.3
7.89.1
Auto2.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed