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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113835010015020012484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+30Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points16
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +20
17Coral scored#13
60Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
12Processor points12
12Net points4
24Algae points16
84Total teleop64
Reef
10L4#4
5L3#6
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
124Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#1
45.30.8
46.547.3
Auto11.4
Teleop27.8
End6.1
red by 2.1
43.20.3
40.440.1
Auto5.4
Teleop35.0
End2.8
Second
281
#7
37.60.8
35.135.9
Auto5.9
Teleop31.2
End0.6
red by 17.8
19.80.3
21.621.3
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Third
6961
#10
20.50.8
19.420.2
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End2.2
red by 3.7
1293
#28
16.90.3
15.815.4
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed