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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868750607080100110120130128119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+11Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points10
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +8
17Coral scored#15
61Coral points55
3Processor algae#4
7Net algae#5
18Processor points24
28Net points20
46Algae points44
107Total teleop99
Reef
9L4#7
4L3#4
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
128Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.92.1
34.736.8
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End1.8
red by 7.9
31.01.5
29.931.4
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End6.9
Second
5130
#17
26.32.1
20.022.0
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End0.7
blue by 1.8
1102
#19
28.11.5
27.529.0
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End0.1
Third
9571
#23
21.92.1
18.921.0
Auto4.6
Teleop15.1
End2.2
red by 9.0
12.91.5
12.113.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed