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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584701001502002505065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+13
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
5Coral scored#8
17Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
27Total teleop40
Reef
1L4#3
3L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
50Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.0
25.325.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.9
End5.2
red by 2.5
4533
#26
23.41.5
19.320.8
Auto4.0
Teleop14.8
End4.6
Second
13.20.0
13.613.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.5
End1.4
blue by 0.4
13.61.5
11.412.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9
Third
4083
#32
8.60.0
8.08.0
Auto0.9
Teleop6.3
End1.4
blue by 4.9
7085
#15
13.51.5
9.911.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned