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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77650501001502009271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+33Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
0Leave0
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points18
23Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +28
14Coral scored#8
49Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
67Total teleop39
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
92Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.51.5
48.650.0
Auto10.2
Teleop35.5
End2.8
red by 10.2
38.30.6
34.635.2
Auto4.1
Teleop25.8
End8.5
Second
12.81.5
13.314.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End1.5
blue by 6.9
1319
#14
19.80.6
19.920.4
Auto7.5
Teleop9.7
End2.6
Third
9.21.5
8.09.5
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 1.6
9315
#24
10.90.6
8.18.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned