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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11358010015020011067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+41Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
3Leave6
4Coral scored#0
22Coral points0
25Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +22
16Coral scored#13
57Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
79Total teleop57
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
110Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#11
55.41.0
51.852.7
Auto11.5
Teleop42.4
End1.5
red by 27.1
3489
#16
28.30.6
25.025.7
Auto4.3
Teleop22.8
End1.2
Second
5130
#17
26.31.0
25.025.9
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End0.7
red by 0.7
6366
#22
25.70.6
24.425.0
Auto5.7
Teleop16.7
End3.3
Third
1319
#14
19.81.0
18.819.8
Auto7.5
Teleop9.7
End2.6
red by 11.2
4083
#32
8.60.6
8.08.6
Auto0.9
Teleop6.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed