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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8558020401001201401606166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
15Coral points12
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +4
8Coral scored#5
30Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
40Total teleop36
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points12
61Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.01.1
32.131.0
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End6.9
red by 9.1
9571
#23
21.90.3
21.521.2
Auto4.6
Teleop15.1
End2.2
Second
19.81.1
21.019.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End2.9
red by 6.6
13.20.3
13.513.2
Auto3.2
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Third
8137
#33
11.51.1
13.011.9
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End1.9
blue by 1.3
12.80.3
13.112.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed