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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12350010015020012859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave0
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points6
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +11
12Coral scored#9
44Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
58Total teleop47
Reef
8L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
36Foul points2
128Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.51.2
50.048.9
Auto10.2
Teleop35.5
End2.8
red by 10.2
38.30.0
35.535.5
Auto4.1
Teleop25.8
End8.5
Second
1758
#13
25.91.2
26.725.5
Auto4.4
Teleop20.7
End0.8
red by 16.0
9.90.0
9.99.9
Auto1.3
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Third
25.91.2
26.725.5
Auto7.8
Teleop12.9
End5.2
red by 19.5
1539
#34
6.40.0
6.46.4
Auto0.8
Teleop5.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsMissed