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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41134010015020055120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+57
Endgame+67
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +50
8Coral scored#17
28Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
38Total teleop88
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
2Foul points0
55Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1293
#28
16.90.1
16.816.9
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End3.9
blue by 28.4
343
#1
45.30.2
45.445.6
Auto11.4
Teleop27.8
End6.1
Second
7085
#15
13.50.1
10.710.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.5
blue by 29.8
43.20.2
40.440.6
Auto5.4
Teleop35.0
End2.8
Third
12.90.1
12.812.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End0.6
blue by 10.5
4533
#26
23.40.2
20.420.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned