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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126685010015020015174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+61Teleop
+53Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
3Leave3
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points12
37Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +39
13Coral scored#8
46Coral points29
4Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
24Processor points6
12Net points8
36Algae points14
82Total teleop43
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#2
5L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +8
8Cage & park16
8Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +77
24Foul points0
151Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.5
48.949.3
Auto10.2
Teleop35.5
End2.8
red by 22.9
6366
#22
25.70.2
25.025.2
Auto5.7
Teleop16.7
End3.3
Second
343
#1
45.30.5
45.646.1
Auto11.4
Teleop27.8
End6.1
red by 23.4
9571
#23
21.90.2
21.221.4
Auto4.6
Teleop15.1
End2.2
Third
8137
#33
11.50.5
11.912.3
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End1.9
blue by 9.0
6961
#10
20.50.2
19.920.1
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End2.2