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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115635010015020011981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+48Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
30Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +33
16Coral scored#11
59Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
87Total teleop54
Reef
9L4#5
5L3#3
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
119Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#11
55.40.4
53.954.2
Auto11.5
Teleop42.4
End1.5
red by 29.7
6366
#22
25.70.3
25.425.7
Auto5.7
Teleop16.7
End3.3
Second
38.90.4
37.337.7
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End1.8
red by 17.0
9571
#23
21.90.3
21.621.9
Auto4.6
Teleop15.1
End2.2
Third
7085
#15
13.50.4
11.912.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.5
blue by 7.1
6961
#10
20.50.3
20.220.5
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End2.2