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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1281105010015020085113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+20
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave9
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points7
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +19
10Coral scored#16
36Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
50Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +28
4Foul points12
85Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.6
49.949.2
Auto10.2
Teleop35.5
End2.8
red by 7.3
342
#12
41.30.1
39.539.6
Auto4.0
Teleop33.7
End3.5
Second
343
#1
45.30.6
46.646.0
Auto11.4
Teleop27.8
End6.1
red by 7.0
38.30.1
36.636.6
Auto4.1
Teleop25.8
End8.5
Third
8137
#33
11.50.6
12.812.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End1.9
blue by 11.9
4533
#26
23.40.1
21.721.8
Auto4.0
Teleop14.8
End4.6