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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88830501001502008778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+1Teleop
+11Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +4
13Coral scored#12
45Coral points43
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
59Total teleop55
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points2
87Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5130
#17
26.30.2
25.926.1
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End0.7
blue by 11.3
281
#7
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto5.9
Teleop31.2
End0.6
Second
1758
#13
25.90.2
25.525.7
Auto4.4
Teleop20.7
End0.8
red by 2.0
24.00.0
23.924.0
Auto8.4
Teleop14.4
End1.2
Third
25.90.2
25.425.7
Auto7.8
Teleop12.9
End5.2
red by 12.3
13.60.0
13.613.6
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9