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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123106050150200133127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+2Teleop
+4Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points14
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +8
19Coral scored#22
67Coral points79
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
6Processor points6
20Net points16
26Algae points22
93Total teleop101
Reef
8L4#10
8L3#7
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
8Cage & park6
8Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +6
2Foul points0
133Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.5
49.349.9
Auto10.2
Teleop35.5
End2.8
red by 5.3
43.20.7
41.742.4
Auto5.4
Teleop35.0
End2.8
Second
343
#1
45.30.5
46.146.6
Auto11.4
Teleop27.8
End6.1
red by 17.0
3489
#16
28.30.7
26.727.5
Auto4.3
Teleop22.8
End1.2
Third
8137
#33
11.50.5
12.312.8
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End1.9
blue by 16.6
1102
#19
28.10.7
26.627.3
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End0.1