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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115105050150200250300113124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+3Teleop
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points16
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
11Coral scored#15
40Coral points54
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
18Processor points18
16Net points20
34Algae points38
74Total teleop92
Reef
6L4#9
5L3#3
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
113Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#11
55.40.2
53.653.9
Auto11.5
Teleop42.4
End1.5
red by 14.1
342
#12
41.30.6
39.039.5
Auto4.0
Teleop33.7
End3.5
Second
38.90.2
37.137.3
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End1.8
red by 0.5
38.30.6
36.036.6
Auto4.1
Teleop25.8
End8.5
Third
7085
#15
13.50.2
11.711.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.5
blue by 10.0
4533
#26
23.40.6
21.121.7
Auto4.0
Teleop14.8
End4.6