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Red193
348926.0
616737.2
445170.3
Blue124
34359.4
931511.8
1038810.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1508150100200193124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+69Teleop
+69Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +59
25Coral scored#20
89Coral points72
3Processor algae#2
11Net algae#2
18Processor points12
44Net points8
62Algae points20
151Total teleop92
Reef
14L4#9
5L3#4
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
0Foul points0
193Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.32.8
56.359.1
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End1.8
red by 10.9
343
#3
59.41.7
48.149.9
Auto12.5
Teleop38.8
End8.1
Second
37.22.8
35.338.1
Auto5.6
Teleop22.3
End9.4
red by 25.4
9315
#28
11.81.7
10.512.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Third
3489
#18
26.02.8
26.829.6
Auto4.7
Teleop19.2
End2.0
red by 15.7
10.31.7
9.611.4
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned