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Red42
513034.9
708514.7
1059916.7
Blue59
636633.8
348926.0
1061917.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions598420401001201404259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+9
Endgame+19
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +5
5Coral scored#5
18Coral points17
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
22Total teleop27
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
2Foul points0
42Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5130
#15
34.91.1
28.026.9
Auto4.6
Teleop28.9
End1.4
red by 1.2
33.80.9
30.129.1
Auto4.9
Teleop20.6
End8.4
Second
16.71.1
12.211.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End2.4
blue by 9.3
3489
#18
26.00.9
29.628.7
Auto4.7
Teleop19.2
End2.0
Third
7085
#24
14.71.1
16.515.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
blue by 2.9
17.60.9
13.412.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned