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Red80
175824.2
105134.1
616737.2
Blue120
453332.7
1059114.4
110250.9
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131855010015020080120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+38
Endgame+36
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave0
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +17
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
6Processor points12
12Net points24
18Algae points36
65Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#9
5L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
2Foul points6
80Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.21.9
38.136.1
Auto5.6
Teleop22.3
End9.4
blue by 13.7
50.92.5
34.236.7
Auto14.8
Teleop34.9
End1.2
Second
34.11.9
30.128.1
Auto9.6
Teleop17.6
End6.9
red by 1.4
4533
#14
32.72.5
21.523.9
Auto4.8
Teleop22.2
End5.7
Third
1758
#17
24.21.9
30.128.1
Auto1.9
Teleop21.2
End1.1
red by 9.8
14.42.5
13.115.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed