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Red150
349051.3
857543.4
486432.7
Blue52
131928.7
1038810.3
1036714.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12648010015020015052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+76Teleop
+98Endgame
+98Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points15
24Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +70
20Coral scored#6
72Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
94Total teleop24
Reef
9L4#4
5L3#2
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#10
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +98
6Foul points6
150Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.32.2
37.940.0
Auto7.3
Teleop35.9
End8.2
red by 22.6
1319
#11
28.70.9
22.821.8
Auto7.9
Teleop16.5
End4.3
Second
8575
#13
43.42.2
41.844.0
Auto8.6
Teleop32.6
End2.1
red by 28.7
14.70.9
19.718.8
Auto7.0
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Third
4864
#12
32.72.2
26.828.9
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End6.1
red by 22.4
10.30.9
11.410.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned