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Red125
128752.5
34359.4
813717.9
Blue87
957125.5
931511.8
28144.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128745010015020012587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+36Teleop
+44Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave3
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points16
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +18
18Coral scored#11
64Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
78Total teleop60
Reef
10L4#3
6L3#5
7L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#19
BargeRed +8
10Cage & park2
10Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points6
125Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#3
59.40.6
49.950.5
Auto12.5
Teleop38.8
End8.1
red by 15.1
281
#10
44.20.2
40.040.2
Auto8.2
Teleop34.2
End1.8
Second
1287
#19
52.50.6
48.449.1
Auto11.4
Teleop38.9
End2.1
red by 27.0
9571
#21
25.50.2
20.120.3
Auto6.4
Teleop17.8
End1.4
Third
8137
#26
17.90.6
11.211.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End3.7
red by 6.0
9315
#28
11.80.2
12.312.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed