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Red150
636633.8
281549.4
445170.3
Blue78
34248.0
453332.7
1023118.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149815010020015078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+62Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points7
23Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +49
24Coral scored#8
85Coral points28
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
6Processor points18
12Net points8
18Algae points26
103Total teleop54
Reef
11L4#2
5L3#3
8L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
150Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.31.3
59.160.4
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End1.8
red by 22.3
342
#7
48.00.1
43.943.8
Auto4.3
Teleop40.5
End3.1
Second
49.41.3
42.143.4
Auto12.4
Teleop28.9
End8.1
red by 16.7
4533
#14
32.70.1
23.923.9
Auto4.8
Teleop22.2
End5.7
Third
33.81.3
29.130.4
Auto4.9
Teleop20.6
End8.4
red by 15.3
18.50.1
10.910.9
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsEarned