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Red66
708514.7
348926.0
453332.7
Blue22
813717.9
1059114.4
931511.8
84%Model gave it16%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79360501001506622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+42Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points6
17Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
9Coral scored#3
33Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
43Total teleop9
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
66Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4533
#14
32.70.1
23.423.5
Auto4.8
Teleop22.2
End5.7
red by 14.8
8137
#26
17.90.9
11.510.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End3.7
Second
3489
#18
26.00.1
28.328.3
Auto4.7
Teleop19.2
End2.0
red by 11.5
14.40.9
13.612.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End0.6
Third
7085
#24
14.70.1
13.513.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
red by 2.9
9315
#28
11.80.9
10.99.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed