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Red117
28144.2
281549.4
1038810.3
Blue99
486432.7
105134.1
513034.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions968405015020011799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points15
20Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +10
16Coral scored#12
59Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
77Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
6Foul points0
117Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.41.3
38.940.1
Auto12.4
Teleop28.9
End8.1
red by 14.4
5130
#15
34.91.2
26.327.5
Auto4.6
Teleop28.9
End1.4
Second
281
#10
44.21.3
37.638.9
Auto8.2
Teleop34.2
End1.8
red by 10.2
34.11.2
25.927.1
Auto9.6
Teleop17.6
End6.9
Third
10.31.3
9.210.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End1.3
blue by 22.4
4864
#12
32.71.2
24.025.1
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsEarned