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Red152
636633.8
616737.2
110250.9
Blue102
131928.7
957125.5
128752.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001100200300400500152102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+30Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
5Coral scored#4
26Coral points22
26Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +26
19Coral scored#16
70Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
102Total teleop76
Reef
5L4#5
8L3#7
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#24
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
152Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.93.1
28.131.3
Auto14.8
Teleop34.9
End1.2
blue by 1.6
1287
#19
52.50.5
48.548.1
Auto11.4
Teleop38.9
End2.1
Second
37.23.1
31.034.1
Auto5.6
Teleop22.3
End9.4
red by 8.5
1319
#11
28.70.5
19.819.3
Auto7.9
Teleop16.5
End4.3
Third
33.83.1
25.728.8
Auto4.9
Teleop20.6
End8.4
red by 8.3
9571
#21
25.50.5
21.921.4
Auto6.4
Teleop17.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed