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Red74
1036714.7
349051.3
348926.0
Blue164
175824.2
445170.3
34359.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881375010015020074164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+88
Endgame+90
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
3Coral scored#6
14Coral points30
20Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +78
7Coral scored#18
26Coral points64
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#9
6Processor points18
8Net points36
14Algae points54
40Total teleop118
Reef
3L4#9
4L3#5
1L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +90
0Foul points0
74Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.31.6
38.336.7
Auto7.3
Teleop35.9
End8.2
blue by 19.0
70.31.8
55.457.2
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End1.8
Second
3489
#18
26.01.6
28.326.8
Auto4.7
Teleop19.2
End2.0
blue by 33.4
343
#3
59.41.8
45.347.1
Auto12.5
Teleop38.8
End8.1
Third
14.71.6
19.818.2
Auto7.0
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 9.5
1758
#17
24.21.8
25.527.3
Auto1.9
Teleop21.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned