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Red81
708514.7
1061917.6
281549.4
Blue46
486432.7
453332.7
1059916.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76692040601001201401608146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+33Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points12
20Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +28
10Coral scored#5
35Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
45Total teleop17
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
81Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.9
40.141.1
Auto12.4
Teleop28.9
End8.1
red by 16.7
4864
#12
32.71.1
25.124.0
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End6.1
Second
17.60.9
13.414.4
Auto3.7
Teleop10.7
End3.3
blue by 15.1
4533
#14
32.71.1
23.522.4
Auto4.8
Teleop22.2
End5.7
Third
7085
#24
14.70.9
13.514.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
blue by 1.9
16.71.1
13.812.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsEarned