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Red87
131928.7
349051.3
931511.8
Blue72
957125.5
1059916.7
175824.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815920401001201408772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+1
+13Endgame
+15Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +1
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
12Processor points6
4Net points16
16Algae points22
55Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#15
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
4Foul points2
87Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.30.6
40.040.6
Auto7.3
Teleop35.9
End8.2
red by 25.8
9571
#21
25.50.7
20.321.0
Auto6.4
Teleop17.8
End1.4
Second
1319
#11
28.70.6
21.822.4
Auto7.9
Teleop16.5
End4.3
red by 4.5
1758
#17
24.20.7
28.128.8
Auto1.9
Teleop21.2
End1.1
Third
9315
#28
11.80.6
12.513.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
blue by 4.8
16.70.7
11.011.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed