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Red88
1059114.4
1036714.7
28144.2
Blue161
281549.4
34359.4
1023118.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7712320406010014016018088161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+51
Endgame+73
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points24
19Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +37
12Coral scored#21
43Coral points76
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
65Total teleop102
Reef
6L4#9
4L3#8
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
20Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points0
88Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#10
44.20.1
40.240.2
Auto8.2
Teleop34.2
End1.8
blue by 15.1
343
#3
59.42.8
50.553.3
Auto12.5
Teleop38.8
End8.1
Second
14.70.1
18.818.7
Auto7.0
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 34.7
49.42.8
43.446.2
Auto12.4
Teleop28.9
End8.1
Third
14.40.1
15.615.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End0.6
blue by 4.0
18.52.8
10.913.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned