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Qual 252025 FIRST South Carolina State Championship presented by Magna
Red79
1059916.7
857543.4
1059114.4
Blue112
708514.7
175824.2
34359.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721145010015020079112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+37
Endgame+37
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave0
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +29
9Coral scored#16
31Coral points58
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
18Processor points12
8Net points16
26Algae points28
57Total teleop86
Reef
5L4#10
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
6Foul points2
79Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8575
#13
43.40.6
43.2→42.7
Auto8.6
Teleop32.6
End2.1
blue by 16.0
343
#3
59.40.0
53.3→53.4
Auto12.5
Teleop38.8
End8.1
Second
10599
#22
16.70.6
11.7→11.2
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End2.4
blue by 7.5
1758
#17
24.20.0
28.8→28.8
Auto1.9
Teleop21.2
End1.1
Third
10591
#25
14.40.6
15.6→15.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End0.6
blue by 0.3
7085
#24
14.70.0
16.3→16.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsMissed