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Red84
453332.7
931511.8
445170.3
Blue84
513034.9
1038810.3
636633.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114730501001502008484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+2Teleop
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +19
3Leave3
6Coral scored#2
28Coral points9
31Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +17
11Coral scored#10
39Coral points36
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
6Processor points18
4Net points12
10Algae points30
49Total teleop66
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
84Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.3
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End1.8
red by 35.3
5130
#15
34.9
Auto4.6
Teleop28.9
End1.4
Second
4533
#14
32.7
Auto4.8
Teleop22.2
End5.7
blue by 1.1
33.8
Auto4.9
Teleop20.6
End8.4
Third
9315
#28
11.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
red by 1.6
10.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed