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Red155
110250.9
813717.9
445170.3
Blue110
1036714.7
128752.5
513034.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211056080140160180200155110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+37Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
6Leave3
6Coral scored#4
31Coral points22
37Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +25
22Coral scored#14
78Coral points51
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
110Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#7
9L3#5
7L2#4
6L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#25
BargeRed +8
8Cage & park0
8Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
155Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.32.9
60.463.3
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End1.8
red by 17.8
1287
#19
52.50.9
51.152.0
Auto11.4
Teleop38.9
End2.1
Second
50.92.9
37.740.5
Auto14.8
Teleop34.9
End1.2
red by 15.9
5130
#15
34.90.9
26.927.8
Auto4.6
Teleop28.9
End1.4
Third
8137
#26
17.92.9
13.916.7
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End3.7
red by 3.2
14.70.9
18.719.6
Auto7.0
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed