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Red146
34359.4
636633.8
486432.7
Blue101
34248.0
348926.0
131928.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13110050150200146101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+23Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +12
20Coral scored#15
73Coral points55
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
97Total teleop85
Reef
10L4#4
7L3#4
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#23
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
146Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#3
59.41.8
53.455.2
Auto12.5
Teleop38.8
End8.1
red by 11.4
342
#7
48.00.1
44.644.7
Auto4.3
Teleop40.5
End3.1
Second
33.81.8
30.432.3
Auto4.9
Teleop20.6
End8.4
red by 5.1
1319
#11
28.70.1
23.023.1
Auto7.9
Teleop16.5
End4.3
Third
4864
#12
32.71.8
28.630.5
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End6.1
red by 6.7
3489
#18
26.00.1
26.726.8
Auto4.7
Teleop19.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed