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Red119
281549.4
813717.9
453332.7
Blue126
349051.3
110250.9
1023118.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9310950150200119126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+21
Endgame+5
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave9
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points21
9Total auto30
Teleoperatedlevel
16Coral scored#12
58Coral points42
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
6Processor points18
16Net points20
22Algae points38
80Total teleop80
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#3
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#24
BargeRed +16
30Cage & park14
30Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points2
119Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.42.2
45.347.5
Auto12.4
Teleop28.9
End8.1
blue by 1.9
51.31.9
41.042.9
Auto7.3
Teleop35.9
End8.2
Second
4533
#14
32.72.2
23.926.1
Auto4.8
Teleop22.2
End5.7
blue by 18.2
50.91.9
40.542.4
Auto14.8
Teleop34.9
End1.2
Third
8137
#26
17.92.2
16.718.9
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End3.7
blue by 0.6
18.51.9
14.316.2
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned