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Red119
445170.3
1036714.7
957125.5
Blue104
28144.2
1061917.6
128752.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11311490100110120130140119104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+11Teleop
+9Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points19
26Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +4
15Coral scored#14
55Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
83Total teleop79
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
6Foul points0
119Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.30.7
63.364.0
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End1.8
red by 17.8
1287
#19
52.50.1
52.051.8
Auto11.4
Teleop38.9
End2.1
Second
9571
#21
25.50.7
19.820.4
Auto6.4
Teleop17.8
End1.4
blue by 18.7
281
#10
44.20.1
40.640.4
Auto8.2
Teleop34.2
End1.8
Third
14.70.7
19.620.3
Auto7.0
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 2.9
17.60.1
13.613.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed