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Red141
1059114.4
513034.9
34248.0
Blue102
616737.2
1059916.7
131928.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11385050100150200141102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+51Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave0
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points18
12Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +57
23Coral scored#12
83Coral points44
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
18Processor points12
24Net points12
42Algae points24
125Total teleop68
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#5
4L2#2
6L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
141Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#7
48.02.0
44.746.6
Auto4.3
Teleop40.5
End3.1
red by 10.8
37.20.4
35.636.0
Auto5.6
Teleop22.3
End9.4
Second
5130
#15
34.92.0
27.829.7
Auto4.6
Teleop28.9
End1.4
red by 6.3
1319
#11
28.70.4
23.123.5
Auto7.9
Teleop16.5
End4.3
Third
14.42.0
15.017.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End0.6
blue by 2.2
16.70.4
11.211.6
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned