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Red88
105134.1
636633.8
957125.5
Blue55
1061917.6
486432.7
1036714.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91640501502008855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+33Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
19Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +29
11Coral scored#4
41Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
55Total teleop26
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
88Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.10.4
29.830.2
Auto9.6
Teleop17.6
End6.9
red by 1.4
4864
#12
32.70.6
30.529.8
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End6.1
Second
33.80.4
32.332.7
Auto4.9
Teleop20.6
End8.4
red by 16.2
17.60.6
13.512.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.7
End3.3
Third
9571
#21
25.50.4
20.420.8
Auto6.4
Teleop17.8
End1.4
red by 10.8
14.70.6
20.319.7
Auto7.0
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned