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Red48
1023118.5
1038810.3
813717.9
Blue61
636633.8
175824.2
1059114.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions439101001504861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+11
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +18
6Coral scored#7
20Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
26Total teleop44
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#12
BargeRed +4
10Cage & park6
10Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points2
48Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.3
16.216.4
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End1.2
blue by 15.3
33.81.2
32.731.4
Auto4.9
Teleop20.6
End8.4
Second
8137
#26
17.90.3
18.518.7
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End3.7
blue by 6.3
1758
#17
24.21.2
27.626.4
Auto1.9
Teleop21.2
End1.1
Third
10.30.3
9.69.9
Auto3.7
Teleop5.3
End1.3
blue by 4.1
14.41.2
17.015.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed