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Qual 372025 FIRST South Carolina State Championship presented by Magna
Red202
616737.2
34359.4
128752.5
Blue168
453332.7
513034.9
349051.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181120100150200250202168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+10Teleop
+32Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave9
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +7
28Coral scored#28
102Coral points101
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#9
18Processor points18
28Net points36
46Algae points54
148Total teleop155
Reef
13L4#11
7L3#7
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#40
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
2Foul points0
202Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#3
59.41.7
55.2→56.9
Auto12.5
Teleop38.8
End8.1
red by 8.1
3490
#2
51.32.6
42.9→45.5
Auto7.3
Teleop35.9
End8.2
Second
1287
#19
52.51.7
51.8→53.5
Auto11.4
Teleop38.9
End2.1
red by 17.5
5130
#15
34.92.6
29.7→32.4
Auto4.6
Teleop28.9
End1.4
Third
6167
#8
37.21.7
36.0→37.7
Auto5.6
Teleop22.3
End9.4
red by 4.5
4533
#14
32.72.6
26.1→28.7
Auto4.8
Teleop22.2
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
51%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsMissed