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Red132
513034.9
34359.4
957125.5
Blue148
616737.2
453332.7
857543.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141142110120130150160170180132148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+4Teleop
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +5
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points12
23Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +1
20Coral scored#20
71Coral points72
1Processor algae#1
7Net algae#7
6Processor points6
28Net points28
34Algae points34
105Total teleop106
Reef
6L4#9
7L3#6
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
132Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#3
59.40.3
56.957.1
Auto12.5
Teleop38.8
End8.1
red by 16.0
8575
#13
43.41.1
44.745.8
Auto8.6
Teleop32.6
End2.1
Second
5130
#15
34.90.3
32.432.6
Auto4.6
Teleop28.9
End1.4
blue by 2.2
37.21.1
37.738.7
Auto5.6
Teleop22.3
End9.4
Third
9571
#21
25.50.3
20.821.1
Auto6.4
Teleop17.8
End1.4
blue by 7.2
4533
#14
32.71.1
28.729.8
Auto4.8
Teleop22.2
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned