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Red100
28144.2
131928.7
486432.7
Blue99
445170.3
1023118.5
708514.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10610570809010011012013014015010099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+9
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave6
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points13
21Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +11
12Coral scored#17
43Coral points60
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
67Total teleop78
Reef
4L4#7
5L3#5
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
100Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#10
44.20.3
41.942.2
Auto8.2
Teleop34.2
End1.8
blue by 26.0
70.30.0
65.465.5
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End1.8
Second
4864
#12
32.70.3
29.830.2
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End6.1
red by 14.2
18.50.0
16.416.4
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End1.2
Third
1319
#11
28.70.3
23.523.8
Auto7.9
Teleop16.5
End4.3
red by 13.9
7085
#24
14.70.0
16.616.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed